“Are current models able to support decision making under deep uncertainty?”


Date        : December 3rd, 2018
Time        : 10:00 – 17:00 hrs.
Location : Paviljoen Deltares Delft

The objective of this workshop is twofold:

  • To present and exchange experiences on model-based methods and their models for coping with deep uncertainties in long-term planning and policy development for water management, transport and traffic, and pollution and air quality and

  • To discuss the use and potential improvements and linkages of these concepts and methods for planning and policy making in these policy domains.



10:00 -12:00

Plenary session

  • Decision making under deep uncertainty; theoretical background;  Warren Walker (TUD)

  • Policy making under uncertainty;  Pieter Bloemen (Office of the Delta Commissioner)

  • Using models in dealing with uncertainties;  Detlef van Vuuren (UUUniversiteit Utrecht/PBLPlanbureau voor de Leefomgeving)

  • Advising policy makers on mobility policies; Johan Visser (KIM)

  • Panel discussion on major questions and challenges; facilitated by GertJan de Maagd (Min  IenW)

12:00 - 14:00

Market & Lunch

  • On a lively market place people are invited to give short pitches on their concepts and methods,  demonstrate their tools and present their case studies; combined with a lunch buffet
14:00 - 15:30

Working sessions

  • Climate Adaptation; Marjolijn Haasnoot (Deltares), Bart van de Hurk (KNMIKoninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut)

  • Transport; Erik Verroen (RWS)

  • Energy transition; Sido Mylius or Willem Ligtvoet (PBL), (Min. EZK) 

15:30 - 16:15

Wrap - up session

  • Focus: Concepts and methods used, Accuracy and credibility of models, Communication

  • Form: Panel discussion lead by facilitator (GertJan de Maagd)

16:15 - 17:00 Drinks


Participation is free; however please register in advance by sending an e-mail to Secretariaat-ZWS Deltares